@kch49er: I agree that all these technologies are viable in a post-peak-oil universe. However, since oil either has peaked or will do so w/in a decade, as evidenced by this table
:
This creates a problem: It is very late in the day; as the Hirsch Report pointed out five years ago ;adapting to peak oil without drastic social disruptions requires major changes to begin twenty years before the peak. We missed that chance, and so there are going to be drastic social disruptions. Said disruptions will make moves to sustain industrial civilization on renewables impossible and thus cause drastically reduced living standards. This combined with mass migrations etc. will cause a centuries-long societal collapse with its accompanying dark age until someone figures out how to use the tech you described.
NOTE: Oil and gas companies have reached dangerous debt levels
NOTE: The EROEI of an energy source is the ratio of the amount of usable energy acquired from a particular energy resource to the amount of energy expended to obtain that energy resource. The EROEI for any source usable by an industrial civilization is 10. The EROEI of various resources are indicated in this table.
:
Quote:Quoterojected Date
Source
2006–2007 Bakhtiari
2007–2009 Simmons
After 2007 Skrebowski
Before 2009 Deffeyes
Before 2010 Goodstein
Around 2010 Campbell
After 2010 World Energy Council
2010–2020 Laherrere
2016 EIA (Nominal)
After 2020 CERA
2025 or later Shell
This creates a problem: It is very late in the day; as the Hirsch Report pointed out five years ago ;adapting to peak oil without drastic social disruptions requires major changes to begin twenty years before the peak. We missed that chance, and so there are going to be drastic social disruptions. Said disruptions will make moves to sustain industrial civilization on renewables impossible and thus cause drastically reduced living standards. This combined with mass migrations etc. will cause a centuries-long societal collapse with its accompanying dark age until someone figures out how to use the tech you described.
NOTE: Oil and gas companies have reached dangerous debt levels
NOTE: The EROEI of an energy source is the ratio of the amount of usable energy acquired from a particular energy resource to the amount of energy expended to obtain that energy resource. The EROEI for any source usable by an industrial civilization is 10. The EROEI of various resources are indicated in this table.