one can (never) cure cancer?

[QhpA]

I thought it would be interesting to come back to this topic a decade on, and to compare the 5-year survival rates for cancer to what the users here were expecting.

First, it seems the most optimistic predictions here (i.e. 100% five-year cancer survival rate) did not pan out.

So according to the expert Ido Bachelet significant advances for various forms of cancer treatment (maybe even a cure or in other words a 100%-five-year-survival-rate for all forms of cancer?) may become possible somethere around 2020? Because the video itself was posted in 2013 and Dr. Bachelet mentions that the DNAbots in the video may become usable in humans after five years.

Another idea raised in this discussion was using regenerative medicine approaches to cancer treatment. Regenerative medicine has advanced in the last 10 years, but not by enough to enable routine organ replacement. If memory serves, the current issue is ensuring correct and sufficient vascularisation, especially in terms of things like capillary generation. I read a paper a few years ago that convincingly argued tissue engineering would allow routine organ replacement in the next 50 years.

But in principle wouldn't these kind of advances in organ and tissue replacement also cause a huge leap in the treatment of most forms of cancer? Or is organ and tissue bioprinting even more complicated than cancer treatment? In that case the whole argument above wouldn't work, because then one could already cure various forms of cancer long before one could print out new organs and tissue in 3d-bioprinters.

Finally, I'd like to finish on a positive note and compare the FTL 5-year survival projections for pancreatic cancer to what they are today in the United States. If you look at the graph below, you can see 5-year survival for pancreatic cancer was projected at 10% around 2025, and around 12% in 2030. In fact, 5-year pancreatic survival rates today in USA are 13%: https://pancan.org/news/pancreatic-cance...ses-to-13/

There is an article there, which includes a timeline for advances in cancer treatment:

http://www.futuretimeline.net/blog/2013/04/1.htm

At this rate, we can expect most cancer that is diagnosed sufficiently early to become mostly a chronic condition by the end of the 21st century.