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Poll: ASI date
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Already accomplished
0%
0 0%
Mid 2020s
10.00%
1 10.00%
Late 2020s
10.00%
1 10.00%
1H 2030s
10.00%
1 10.00%
2H 2030s
0%
0 0%
2040s
0%
0 0%
2H 21st Century
30.00%
3 30.00%
After 2100
40.00%
4 40.00%
Never
0%
0 0%
Total 10 vote(s) 100%
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Date of ASI
#1
When will humanity become the second most intelligent species on the planet? Discuss.
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#2
We’re already the third most intelligent Tongue
Behind dolphins and mice
As Douglas adams revealed

https://research.aimultiple.com/artifici...ty-timing/

But I’ll defer to the surveys of AI experts about when it’s likely to happen
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#3
I think that will happen after the 2100s. I mean I don't even know how soon we will have AGI (hopefully soon), so I'm being conservative.
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#4
I would have voted late 21st a couple years ago but DALL-E and ChatGPT changed my mind.
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